Alrighty, get ready...
Ukraine - they'll definitley do well with televote plus get some sympathy votes both from televote and the jury vote but it is not good enough to win. Think in the offical OGAE poll they often only got 1-2 points.
Italy - huge jury appeal but will split the public. Italy always does good though so, I am predicting top 3? Hopefully not a winner mostly because I don't want Italy to host again
Sweden - again huge jury appeal and I think it is pretty much hers to loose. She won the OGAE poll so she's obviously loved in the fandom but the message of the song will touch many plus it's well produced, great vocals and staging hopefully will be good.
UK - no idea. Anything from bottom 5 to top 5 seems possible.
Spain - I am so torn on this. On one hand I can see this appealing to the public and juries might be impressed by her voice but I still can't see this being anywhere near the top with the juries when there are so many great ballads. Plus Spain always seems to struggle.
Poland - decent song but don't get the hype
Greece - *copy & paste what was said about Poland*
Norway - I am biased because I LOVE this song and would love for it to win but juries will drag this down. Might do really well with televote - espeically if they perform near the end.
Australia, Netherlands and Serbia - could be dark horses if they can connect with the public and nail staging.
Portugal - type of mellow song some people love (juries) while others hate it (public?)...
France - love this but yea, can see this tank big time. Hopefully it will at least mean Germany's not at the bottom alone while the rest of the Big 5 do really well.
Some of my additions:
Austria, Czech and Estonia - absolutely love these and hope they will go thru to the final. Especially Austria.
Ireland - such a guilty pleasure. There's no chance in hell she's going to the final but it is such a bop.