Strictly Come Dancing 2024 #23

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soccergirl said:
Bookies' odds now@
To win;

11/10 Chris McCausland
7/2 Tasha Ghouri
10/1 JB Gill
12/1 Sarah Hadland
20/1 Wynne Evans
25/1 Shayne Ward
40/1 Jamie Borthwick
40/1 Sam Quek
50/1 Montell Douglas
60/1 Pete Wicks
66/1 Punam Krishan
200/1 Nick Knowles
200/1 Paul Merson

Chris is walking it. The only question is whether he can sustain everything. He looked knackered Friday/Saturday and this must be taking a huge amount out of him. (Also Tasha is not winning this, even if Chris pulls out).
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Surprised to see JB so high and Punam so low.
I'm not sure I can see Chris coping with another two months of this, he seemed completely drained on Saturday even in the VT before the performance.
 
Sea said:
Had to make it about him and lift his top to show off his hips 🙄
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He's has to distract from his face.

soccergirl said:
Chris is walking it. The only question is whether he can sustain everything. He looked knackered Friday/Saturday and this must be taking a huge amount out of him. (Also Tasha is not winning this, even if Chris pulls out).
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At this stage, if it's not Chris then I'd back Sarah. I'm also not confident Chris will last the duration, unfortunately.

If he did and won it, has there ever been a winner who didn't do the tour? I know it's not run by the BBC, blahdeblah, but your winner is certainly a main attraction.
 
posy said:
I’m surprised by Tasha being so high, having said that, although she is a ringer, Aljaz is popular and as he isn’t the most inspiring choreographer, she coming across as an understated ringer if that makes sense?
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She has quite a reserved and laid back attitude as well and is very humble, whereas Layton for example was a show off right from the beginning - I know people here will hate me saying that, I was a fan of him and Nikita but he did start with off with too much big energy in his dances until he took the judges feedback. A lot of the viewers don't seem to like confidence, look how many dance offs Maisie ended up in, it was ridiculous. Understated ringer describes Tasha perfectly and I think she could make it to the final without hitting a DO.
 
The British public are brutal and you have to have a JOURNEYTM, be confident enough to perform in front of a huge live audience but never anything that could be construed as cocky, be really good and want to win but apparently never dream in a million years of actually doing it.

Oh, and too much sob story and the public will turn.
 
soccergirl said:
Bookies' odds now@
To win;

11/10 Chris McCausland
7/2 Tasha Ghouri
10/1 JB Gill
12/1 Sarah Hadland
20/1 Wynne Evans
25/1 Shayne Ward
40/1 Jamie Borthwick
40/1 Sam Quek
50/1 Montell Douglas
60/1 Pete Wicks
66/1 Punam Krishan
200/1 Nick Knowles
200/1 Paul Merson

Chris is walking it. The only question is whether he can sustain everything. He looked knackered Friday/Saturday and this must be taking a huge amount out of him. (Also Tasha is not winning this, even if Chris pulls out).
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Going by this I would definitely stick a tenner on Punam and Pete to make the final.
I think there will be a quite a few surprises here.
Shayne will be gone quicker than people think because he’s full and forgettable, there are better dancers and bigger personalities.
Sam Quek won’t last longer than Punam or Pete either, again she’s forgettable and her and Nikita just don’t have that chemistry.
JB same as above.
I think Pete will do a Jamie Laing/Chris Ramsey and Punam will do a Helen Skelton/Gemma Atkinson if they keep on the way they are.
Tasha is a wonderful dancer but ringers don’t win.
 
takingthemickmick said:
She has quite a reserved and laid back attitude as well and is very humble, whereas Layton for example was a show off right from the beginning - I know people here will hate me saying that, I was a fan of him and Nikita but he did start with off with too much big energy in his dances until he took the judges feedback. A lot of the viewers don't seem to like confidence, look how many dance offs Maisie ended up in, it was ridiculous. Understated ringer describes Tasha perfectly and I think she could make it to the final without hitting a DO.
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Spot on.

But Tasha is forgettable, she can dance but apart from the cochlear video I've not seen much personality - maybe Alijaz distracts me (not in a good way!)
Loudest personality doesn't always win but a presence is needed (bye JB!!)

I don’t think Chris will be the winner, unless he continues to wow and improve his dance.
 
ilovedogss said:
I liked Maisie, and i wanted her or Hrvy to win. I really didn't get the Bill Bailey hype, and thought he was overrated.
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I didn’t get the Bill Bailey hype either. I thought he had a few good dances but he wasn’t winner material to me. Also, he had previous ballroom dance experience (specifically ballroom) which flies under the radar! Female contestants with dance experience get absolutely slated whereas Bill got a free pass.
 
missbct said:
No, pretty sure it was Nigel relatively consistently (despite Shitley's attacks) until perhaps the two weeks before he pulled out. The paso he did in week 1 really drove a lot of it I think. I still watch it today!
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Ellie was favourite from week 5 (both with bookies and polls).

Wondering when they will highlight Tasha's deafness. I also wonder if she would be able to do a CC incorporating it or will she be accused of imitating Rose? I think quite a lot of viewers aren't aware that Tasha is completely deaf.
 
ilovedogss said:
I liked Maisie, and i wanted her or Hrvy to win. I really didn't get the Bill Bailey hype, and thought he was overrated.
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maisie was absolutely robbed imo. she had one of the best finals i’ve ever seen on this show, and i still watch her samba and quickstep.

she was never going to win though. from week one people were saying she was a fully trained ballet dancer and all sorts 🤣 i am maybe the minority in this thread though in that the ringers are usually my favourites and i do think the best dancer should win (though that almost have happens).
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Applina89 said:
I didn’t get the Bill Bailey hype either. I thought he had a few good dances but he wasn’t winner material to me. Also, he had previous ballroom dance experience (specifically ballroom) which flies under the radar! Female contestants with dance experience get absolutely slated whereas Bill got a free pass.
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exactly! he’s also a hugely talented and proficient musician across loads of instruments, which gives you a rhythm and tempo understanding that’s above so many people. young female “ringers” always get it the worse though.
 
Woolmercardington said:
If he did and won it, has there ever been a winner who didn't do the tour? I know it's not run by the BBC, blahdeblah, but your winner is certainly a main attraction.
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I was looking this up the other day, in the early years of the tour celebs from a few series would take part, so it wasn't always the most recent winner on tour, but there has always been a winner. I never really believed the conspiracy theory that comes up every year that TPTB don't want anyone who isn't doing the tour to win, but they are lucky that the winner has always done it 🧐
 
UnknownTattler said:
I was looking this up the other day, in the early years of the tour celebs from a few series would take part, so it wasn't always the most recent winner on tour, but there has always been a winner. I never really believed the conspiracy theory that comes up every year that TPTB don't want anyone who isn't doing the tour to win, but they are lucky that the winner has always done it 🧐
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I agree, Maisie, Alexandra Burke and Danny Mac are the ones I will never get over.
 
I'm surprised at JB being so high on the list, as a potential winner. Nice guy, competent dancer but I don't know. Unless they are counting on the Amy factor as part of the appeal. I went and tidied my kitchen while they were on, on Saturday evening.

Just looking at the male celebrity line up, I'd see pretty much any of them hanging in longer than him. Apart from Paul, who I think will be gone this weekend. Jamie and Pete, I want to stay for ages yet. Not taking themselves seriously but working hard and enjoying the crack. I love Chris and I hope he has the stamina to continue for as long as it takes.
 
ChastityDingle said:
I'm surprised at JB being so high on the list, as a potential winner. Nice guy, competent dancer but I don't know. Unless they are counting on the Amy factor as part of the appeal. I went and tidied my kitchen while they were on, on Saturday evening.

Just looking at the male celebrity line up, I'd see pretty much any of them hanging in longer than him. Apart from Paul, who I think will be gone this weekend. Jamie and Pete, I want to stay for ages yet. Not taking themselves seriously but working hard and enjoying the crack. I love Chris and I hope he has the stamina to continue for as long as it takes.
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I agree. JB is going to get utterly lost in the mix unless he has an uh-may-zing standout dance soon. For Amy this will probably be a jive a la Karim and DJJ.
 
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